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/r/fivethirtyeight

Kamala Harris has enough delegate votes to become Democratic nominee: DNC chair

187 upvotes • toosoered
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Harris overtakes trump for the first time in betting markets (predictit.org)

186 upvotes • Qzply76
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Pennsylvania is 3x as likely to be the tipping-point state as Michigan

183 upvotes • dtarias
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Harris and Trump are tied in 538’s new polling averages

180 upvotes • dwaxe
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Survey USA 8/2 - 8/4: Harris +3

169 upvotes • plokijuh1229
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The presidential election is a toss-up

165 upvotes • dwaxe
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Marquette University (A+) Wisconsin Poll: Harris+1 (LV), Trump+1 (RV) [July 24-August 1]

147 upvotes • SlashGames
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Tim Walz was the safe VP pick

143 upvotes • dwaxe
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The fact that 538 still claims there is no announced presumptive democratic nominee as of Aug 3rd is frankly embarrassing

123 upvotes • Icypalmtree
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Nate Silver: My theory is that Harris was doing worse than Biden in their [538’s] model and they're waiting until she's doing at least as well or otherwise what to do about that.

112 upvotes • Niek1792
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