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/r/fivethirtyeight

Harris takes the lead in the Silver Bulletin model with a 51 percent chance of winning the electoral college

473 upvotes • theLogicality
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Harris selects Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as running mate, aiming to add Midwest muscle to ticket

449 upvotes • Jacomer2
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Harris/Trump polling average is live on 538, Harris is ahead by 1.2 right now

353 upvotes • SlashGames
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YouGov/UMass poll: Harris+3, 7-point swing from previous poll

295 upvotes • SlashGames
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Marist/NPR Poll (A): Harris 51, Trump 48 (Aug 1-4)

272 upvotes • SlashGames
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CBS/YouGov National Poll: Harris +1 (50/49) pushed, Harris +2 (49/47/3/0/0/0) w/3rd parties

226 upvotes • GamerDrew13
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Tim Walz is a Minnesota Nice choice

218 upvotes • dwaxe
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Nate Silver Model - 2024 is a tossup

208 upvotes • Icommandyou
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Harris finally surpasses Trump in the RCP average.

204 upvotes • Distinct-Shift-4094
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YouGov/Economist National Poll: Harris +2 (45/43) [Aug 4 - 6]

194 upvotes • SlashGames
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