| Harris takes the lead in the Silver Bulletin model with a 51 percent chance of winning the electoral college | 473 | theLogicality | | | | |
| Harris selects Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as running mate, aiming to add Midwest muscle to ticket | 449 | Jacomer2 | | | | |
| Harris/Trump polling average is live on 538, Harris is ahead by 1.2 right now | 353 | SlashGames | | | | |
| YouGov/UMass poll: Harris+3, 7-point swing from previous poll | 295 | SlashGames | | | | |
| Marist/NPR Poll (A): Harris 51, Trump 48 (Aug 1-4) | 272 | SlashGames | | | | |
| CBS/YouGov National Poll: Harris +1 (50/49) pushed, Harris +2 (49/47/3/0/0/0) w/3rd parties | 226 | GamerDrew13 | | | | |
| Tim Walz is a Minnesota Nice choice | 218 | dwaxe | | | | |
| Nate Silver Model - 2024 is a tossup | 208 | Icommandyou | | | | |
| Harris finally surpasses Trump in the RCP average. | 204 | Distinct-Shift-4094 | | | | |
| YouGov/Economist National Poll: Harris +2 (45/43) [Aug 4 - 6] | 194 | SlashGames | | | | |
