/u/IntrepidGentian's posts in /r/science

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Study finds major Earth systems likely on track to collapse.

690 upvotes

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On the chances of staying below the 1.5°C warming target. >5% annual fossil CO2 emissions cut needed for only 50% chance to stay below 1.5°C

72 upvotes

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Following current policies this century would commit to a 45% tipping risk by 2300, even if temperatures are brought back to below 1.5 °C. Tipping risk by 2300 increases with every additional 0.1 °C of overshoot above 1.5 °C and strongly accelerates for peak warming above 2.0 °C.

39 upvotes

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Tipping probability of 45%.

7 upvotes

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Title	Upvotes	Mark as read	Favorited	Rating	Add to a list
Study finds major Earth systems likely on track to collapse.	690
On the chances of staying below the 1.5°C warming target. >5% annual fossil CO2 emissions cut needed for only 50% chance to stay below 1.5°C	72
Following current policies this century would commit to a 45% tipping risk by 2300, even if temperatures are brought back to below 1.5 °C. Tipping risk by 2300 increases with every additional 0.1 °C of overshoot above 1.5 °C and strongly accelerates for peak warming above 2.0 °C.	39
Tipping probability of 45%.	7