u_TearRepresentative56

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V COMPREHENSIVE: We saw strong reversal yday, but As I mentioned, Markets will likely remain under pressure until OPEX still. Some fast squeeze bounces like yday, but overall still likely to be pressured. Heres a look at positioning, skew, & the Japanese influence with KEY new data out yday, & more.	94
V IMPORTANT: More bullish news in premarket guys. The key was the dovish comments from BOJ official, Uchida. He said that BOJ WON’T RAISE RATE WHEN MARKET IS UNSTABLE. Said RECENT VOLATILE STOCK, FX MOVES HAVE EFFECTS. Also said UEDA OPINION ALIGNED WITH HIS. Why this is important:	40
Later I will talk you guys through what you may have heard about, the carry trade. and what the bear case is rn. There are increasing risks in the market, but the VIX term structure suggests that we likely see VIX eventually unwind for one more rally. But after that, we must be cautious of the risks	36
Panic isnt a trait of successful traders. I am giving you the actual data right here, that institutions are looking at. The positioning is weak right now, and there are large insitutional put orders. There is no lie in that. But the data isnt as doom and gloom as traders who are guessing suggest.	35
the Nasdsaq McCellan Oscillator. Basically shows breadth of companies. I put more priority on the positioning analysis I do which suggests markets remain under pressure for now, but we do see that the NAMO has got to very low levels. This suggests that soon we probably get some type of relief.	29
When buying, try to buy names that either 1. are popular companies with iron clad secular tailwinds behind it, like NVDA or NOW. 2. Stocks that have beat and raised at last quarter earnings. 3. Companies that have relative strength vs the overall market. The holy grail is to buy a stock thats all 3.	27
Smci down 13% in AH. As mentioned, positioning and skew was bearish into earnings. Preaaure was to downside. Was a sign that traders were expecting a weak print.	25
ALL ABOUT VIX:VIX positioning heavily skwed towards calls. Not much put delta there at all when we look at 40D To Expiration. Can see more upside. however, we note that traders are buying volatility near term but selling long term. Term structure is in backwardation. SEE POST TO KNOW WHA TTHIS MEANS	23
WHAT IMPACT RATE CUTS HAVE ON MARKET DEPENDS ON THE SCENARIO, says BoA. If a soft landing, or if inter meeting cuts, that would be bullish normally. Cuts into a hard landing are bearish. Cuts in any scenario are bullish for bonds.	22
Vix is pumping alot, which is one key risk gage. The other, which is another indicator of true panic and liquidity is rising but surpressed by historical standards. Suggests again a vix driven sell off rather than credit event as many are saying. Still not true panic right now by all accounts	22

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